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Superbowl lines show the Packers as 2-point favorites against the Pittsburgh steelers with the total at 44.5.



What do recent trends tell us about the odds for Green Bay and Pittsburgh against the Superbowl gambling lines at the online sports book?

Favorites Struggling
A lot of years ago the favorites did rather well in the Superbowl but since 1980 the favorites are only 19-11 straight up and a weak 12-16-2 against the spread. The longshot has covered the last 3 Super Bowls, successful 2 of the 3 outright. The public genuinely likes Green Bay in Superbowl XLV however the recent trends point to taking the longshot Steelers. The Packers are the tenth distinct NFC squad to play in the Superbowl in the previous 10 years. The Packers are the 4th squad to win 3 consecutive road games and arrive at the Superbowl. 2 of the prior 3 won the Superbowl. The Packers are the 1st number six seed from the NFC to make it to the Superbowl.

Point Totals
If Green Bay is presented to 30 points or less in the Superbowl they are most likely in trouble. The last sixteen Superbowl favorites to score 30 points or less are 2-14-1 against the spread. Let’s go one step further with regards to the successful point total. If a squad does not get to at least 21 points in the Superbowl they practically never win. If a squad does not get to at least 21 points in the Superbowl they are 1-20 straight up in the last 21 Super Bowls and a putrid 3-17-1 against the point spread. Squads that get to 21 points or more have a very great potential for successful. With both Pittsburgh and Green Bay having fantastic defenses it looks very probably that whoever gets to 21 points will win and cover Superbowl XLV. Looking at the total, 5 of the last 6 Super Bowls have gone under the total in Superbowl lines and if it were not for a late Pittsburgh Touchdown 2 years ago it will be 6 in a row. This year’s total of 44.5 is the lowest we have viewed in the Superbowl since Superbowl XXXVIII.

NFC Advantage
In the last 30 Super Bowls, the NFC is 19-11 straight up and 18-10-2 ATS. It ought to be observed though that in the last 13 Super Bowls that the NFC is only 4-9 SU and 6-6-1 ATS. And this is the 1st time in the last nine seasons that the NFC is going to be favored in the Superbowl.


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